Papers: Preprints & Supplements

1.      A. I. McLeod (2011, in preparation).  Some Mathematica Demonstrations for Teaching Statistics.

2.      Changjiang Xu and A. Ian McLeod (2011, in preparation). On the Generalized Information Criterion for Linear Model Selection.

3.      Changjiang Xu and A. Ian McLeod (2011, Under Review).  On Asymptotic Properties of Generalized Information Criterion for Model Selection

4.      Ying Zhang, Hao Yu and A. Ian McLeod (2011, Under Review). Computer Algebra Approach to Unit Root Testing

5.      Esam Mahdi and A. Ian McLeod (2011, Under Review).  Improved Multivariate Portmanteau Test

6.      McLeod, A.I. and Zhang, Ying (2008). Improved Subset Autoregression: With R Package.  Journal of Statistical Software 28/2 1-28. http://www.jstatsoft.org/v28/i02

7.      Vingilis, E.R.; McLeod, A.I.; Mann, R.E. and Seeley, J.F. (2008). A tale of two cities: the effect of extended drinking hours in licensed establishments on assaults and impaired driving offences. Traffic Injury Prevention, 9, 527-533.

8.      Lin, Jen-Wen and McLeod (2008). Portmanteau Tests for ARMA Models with Infinite Variance.  Journal of Time Series Analysis, 29, 600-617.  PreprintReprint

9.      A.I. McLeod andY. Zhang (2008), Faster ARMA maximum likelihood estimation, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 52-4, 2166-2176.   Available online: doi:10.1016/j.csda.2007.07.020. Preprint  DOI link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2007.07.020 Web Supplement

10.  McLeod, A.I and Vingilis, E. (2008). Power Computations in Time Series Analyses for Traffic Safety Interventions. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 40, 1244-1248.  Preprint PDF Online power calculator. Also available online at PubMed Central: http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=2447167 

11.  McLeod, A.I., Yu, Hao and Krougly, Z. (2007).  Algorithms for Linear Time Series Analysis: With R Package.  Journal of Statistical Software  23/5 1-26.   http://www.jstatsoft.org/v23/i05    CRAN:ltsa  CRAN:FGN

12.  Vingilis, E., McLeod, A.I., Stoduto, G., Seeley, J. and Mann, R.E. (2007). Impact of Extended Drinking Hours in Ontario on Motor Vehicular Collision and Non-Motor Vehicular Collision Injuries. Journal of Studies on Alcohol and Drugs  68/6, 905--912. Preprint. Javascript Power Calculator

13.  J.-W. Lin and McLeod, A.I. (2006).  Improved Pena-Rodriguez Portmanteau Test.  Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 51, 1731-1738. Reprint

14.  McLeod, A.I. and Zhang, Y. (2006).  Partial autocorrelation parameterization for subset autoregressionJournal of Time Series Analysis, 27, 599-612.  Reprint.

15.  Zhang, Y. and McLeod, A.I. (2006).  Fitting MA(q) Models in the Closed Invertible Region, Statistics and Probablity Letters, 76, 1331-1334 Preprint. Reprint

16.  Zhang, Y. and McLeod, A.I. (2006), Computer Algebra Derivation of the Bias of Burg Estimators, Journal of Time Series Analysis 27, 157-165.   PDF  Webpage Reprint

17.  Vingilis, E., McLeod, A.I., Seeley, J., Mann, R., Voas, R. and Compton, C. (2006), The Impact of Ontario, Canada’s Extended Drinking Hours on Cross-Border Cities of Windsor and Detroit,  Accident Analysis and Prevention 38, 63-70.  PDF. http://authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S0001457505001193

18.  McLeod, A.I. and Vingilis, E.R. (2005), Power Computations for Intervention Analysis, Technometrics. 47, 174-180.    ReprintCompanion Webpage The manuscript NIHMS51329 "Power Computations for Intervention Analysis" has been loaded into PubMed Central and made available for public access: http://www.pubmedcentral.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=2714195

19.  Kajitani, Y., Hipel, K.W. and McLeod, A.I. (2005),  Forecasting Nonlinear Time Series with Feed-Forward Neural Networks: A Case Study of Canadian Lynx Data, Journal of Forecasting. 24, 105--117.   PDF 

20.  Vingilis, E., McLeod, A.I.,  Seeley, J., Mann, R.E., Stoduto, G., Compton, C.,  Beirness, D. (2005), Road Safety Impact of Extended Drinking Hours in Ontario, Accident Analysis and Prevention. 37, 547-556.  PDF  HTML

21.  McLeod, A.I., Zhang, Y. and Yu, H. (2003).  Multiple Choice Randomization,  Journal of Statistics Education, Volume 11, Number 1,  http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v11n1/mcleod.htmlPDF

22.  McLeod, A.I. and Provost, S.P. (2001).  Multivariate Data Visualization in Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, pp.1333-1344.  Edited by Abdel El-Shaarawi and Walter Piegorsch. New York: Wiley. PDF    PDF-Notebook

23.  McLeod, A.I. and Quenneville, B. (2001), Mean likelihood estimators.  Statistics and Computing 11, 57-65.  Electronic Supplements.    PDF  Reprint

24.  McLeod, A.I. (1999), Necessary and sufficient condition for nonsingular Fisher information matrix in ARMA and fractional ARMA models.  The Americian Statistician 53, 71-72. Software   PDF

25.  McLeod, A.I. (1999), Improved spread-location visualization.  Journal of Graphical and Computational Statistics  8, 135-141.  Software   PDF       Mathematica Notebook

26.  McLeod, A.I., (1996), Diagnostic checking for monotone spread. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 26, 437-443.    Summary    Software  PDF File

27.  McLeod, A.I. (1998), Hyperbolic decay time series.  The Journal of Time Series Analysis 19, 473-484. PDF

28.  McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1995), Exploratory spectral analysis of hydrological time series, Journal of Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics 9, 171-205. PDF

29.  Valz, P., McLeod, A.I. & Thompson, M.E., (1995), Cumulant generating function and tail probability approximations for Kendall's score with tied rankings, Annals of Statistics 23, 144-160. PDF.

30.  McLeod, A.I. (1994) Diagnostic Checking Periodic Autoregression Models with Application, The Journal of Time Series Analysis 15, 221-233. Addendum, Journal of Time Series Analysis 16, p.647-648.    PDF

31.  McLeod, A.I., (1993), Parsimony, model adequacy and periodic correlation in forecasting time series, International Statistical Review 61, 387-393.   PDF

32.  McLeod, A.I. (1993), A note on ARMA model parameter redundancy, The Journal of Time Series Analysis 14, 207-208.   PDF

33.  Kheoh, T.S. & McLeod, A.I. (1992), Comparison of two modified portmanteau tests for model adequacy, Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 14, 99-106.

34.  McLeod, A.I., Hipel, K.W. & Bodo, B. (1991), Trend analysis methodology for water quality time series, Envirometrics 2, 169-200.

35.  Valz, P.D. & McLeod, A.I. (1990), A simplified derivation of the variance of Kendall's tau, The American Statistician 44, 39--40.   PDF

36.  Camacho, F., McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1987), Contemporaneous bivariate time series, Biometrika 74, 103-113.  PDF

37.  Hipel, K.W. & McLeod, A.I. (1989), Intervention Analysis in Environmental Engineering,  Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 12, 185--201.

38.  Jimenez, C., McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1989), Kalman filter estimation of periodic autoregressive-moving average models, Journal of Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics, 3,227-240.

39.  Kheoh, T.S. & McLeod, A.I. (1989), On the forecast error variance of fitted time series models, Pakistan Journal of Statistics, 5(3) B, 239-243.

40.  Hipel, K.W., McLeod, A.I. & Weiler, R.R. (1988), Data analysis of water quality time series in Lake Erie, Water Resources Bulletin 24,  533-544. PDF

41.  McLeod, A.I. (1987). Simple Random Sampling in Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Volume 7, ed. S. Kotz, N.L. Johnson & C.B. Read. Wiley: New York.

42.  Camacho, F., McLeod, A.I. &  Hipel, K.W. (1987),  Multivariate contemporaneous ARMA models with application to hydrology,  Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics, V.1, pp.141--154.  PDF

43.  Li, W.K. & McLeod, A.I. (1987).  ARMA modelling with non-Gaussian innovations,  Journal of Time Series Analysis, V.9,  pp.155--168. PDF

44.  Noakes, D.J., Hipel, K.W. & McLeod, A.I. (1987).  Forecasting experiments with annual geophysical time series,  The International Journal of Forecasting, V.4, pp.103--115.

45.  McLeod, A.I., Noakes, D.J., Hipel, K.W. & Thompstone, R.M. (1987), Combining hydrologic forecasts, Water Resources Planning and Management (ASCE) 113, 29-41.  PDF

46.  Thompstone, R.M., Hipel, K.W. & McLeod, A.I. (1986), Powerhouse Inflow Forecasting, International Journal of Hydroelectric Energy,  4,  289--298.

47.  Li, W.K. & McLeod, A.I. (1986), Fractional time series modelling, Biometrika 73, 217--221.   PDF

48.  Noakes, D.J., McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1985), Forecasting seasonal hydrological time series, The International Journal of Forecasting 1, 179-190.  PDF

49.  McLeod, A.I. & Jiménez, C. (1984), Nonnegative definiteness of the sample autocorrelation function, The American Statistician, 38, p.297.   PDF

50.  McLeod, A.I. (1984), Duality and other properties of multiplicative autoregressive-moving average models, Biometrika 71, 207-211.  PDF

51.  McLeod, A.I. & Li, W.K. (1983), Diagnostic checking ARMA time series models using squared-residual autocorrelations, Journal of Time Series Analysis 4, 269-273.    PDF

52.  McLeod, A.I., Hipel, K.W. & Camacho, F. (1983), Trend assessment of water quality time series, Water Resources Bulletin, 19 537-547.  PDF

53.  McLeod, A.I. & Sales, P.R.H. (1983), An algorithm for approximate likelihood calculation of ARMA and seasonal ARMA models, Applied Statistics 32, 211-223.  PDF

54.  McLeod, A.I. & Bellhouse, D.R. (1983), A convenient algorithm for drawing a simple random sample, Applied Statistics 32, 182-184. Summary    PDF

55.  Thompstone, R.M., Hipel, K.W. \& McLeod, A.I. (1983).  Transfer function noise modelling for powerhouse inflow forecasting.  INFOR 21, 258-269.

56.  Li, W.K. & McLeod, A.I. (1981), Distribution of the residual autocorrelation in multivariate ARMA time series models, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 43, 231-239.  PDF

57.  Baracos, P.C., Hipel, K.W. & McLeod, A.I. (1981).   Modelling hydrological time series from the Arctic. Water Resources Bulletin, V.17, pp.414--422.

58.  Hipel, K.W., Lettenmaier, D.P. \& McLeod, A.I. (1979).  Assessment of environmental impact, Part 1, Intervention analysis.   Environmental Management, V.2, pp.529--535. 

59.   Lettenmaier, D.P., Hipel, K.W. \& McLeod, A.I. (1979).  Assessment of environmental impact, Part 2, Data collection.  Environmental Management, V.2, pp.537--554.

60.  McLeod, A.I. (1979), Distribution of the residual cross correlations in univariate ARMA time series models, Journal of the American Statistical Association 74, 849-855.   PDF

61.  McLeod, A.I. (1978), On the distribution and applications of residual autocorrelations in Box-Jenkins modelling, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B 40, 296-302.    PDF

62.  McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1978), Simulation procedures for Box-Jenkins models, Water Resources Research 14, 969-975. Appendix Containing Fortran Code for WASIM.   PDF

63.  McLeod, A.I. & Hipel, K.W. (1978), Preservation of the rescaled adjusted range, Part 1, A reassessment of the Hurst phenomenon, Water Resources Research 14, 491-508.  PDF

64.  Hipel, K.W. & McLeod, A.I. (1978), Preservation of the rescaled adjusted range, Part 2, Simulation studies using Box-Jenkins models, Water Resources Research 14, 509-516.  PDF

65.  Hipel, K.W., McLeod, A.I. & Lennox, W.C. (1977). Advances in Box-Jenkins modelling, Part 1, Theory. Water Resources Research, V.13, pp.567--575. PDF

66.  McLeod, A.I., Hipel, K.W. & Lennox, W.C. (1977).  Advances in Box-Jenkins modelling, Part 2, Applications.  Water Resources Research, V.13, pp.576--586.  PDF

67.  Hipel, K.W., McLeod, A.I. & McBean,  E.A. (1977).  Stochastic modelling of the effects of reservoir operation.  Journal of Hydrology, V.32, pp.99--113.

68.  McLeod, A.I. (1977), Improved Box-Jenkins estimators, Biometrika 64, 531-534.  PDF

69.  Hipel, K.W., McLeod, A.I. & McBean, E.A. (1977). Stochastic modelling of the effects of reservoir operation''.  Journal of Hydrology  32, 99-113.

70.  Thompson, M.E. & McLeod, A.I. (1976), The effects of economic variables upon the demand for cigarettes in Canada, The Mathematical Scientist, 1, 121-132.  PDF

71.  Hipel, K.W., Lennox, W.C., Unny, T.E. & McLeod, A.I. (1975).  Intervention analysis in water resources.  Water Resources Research, V.11, pp.855--861.